Sub-Component Study: Precipitation and Temperature Shifts Due to Climate Change in Northwest Quito Canton, Ecuador

* If this publication is shareable, you can access it by clicking the "Download in English" button. If it is a journal article or book chapter, a link is provided in the text below. 


This report was written as part of a project to provide policy- relevant data on Chagas disease, leishmaniasis, malaria, chikungunia and dengue fever and relevant socioeconomic, climatic and land-use change factors influencing disease rates and transmission in four rural parishes in Quito, Ecuador.

Key messages of the report:
-Precipitation and minimum and maximum temperatures are likely to increase over northwest Ecuador over the 2020s (2010-2039), the 2050s (2040-2069) and the 2070s (2060-2089).
-Precipitation and minimum temperatures are likely to increase more in the dry season than the rainy season, but will still increase in the rainy season.
-These changes may create more favorable climate conditions for some disease-carrying vectors like mosquitos and sand flies.
-Other factors, like land-use change and human behaviors, will also influence the spread and life cycle of vector-borne diseases. These factors were investigated by the other collaborators to the overall study.
Keywords: Climate Modeling and Scenario Planning; Health; Resilience and Climate Change Adaptation; Social Vulnerability

Authors: Dr. Sarah Opitz-Stapleton

Citation: Opitz-Stapleton, S. (2016). Precipitation and Temperature Shifts Due to Climate Change in Northwest Quito Canton, Ecuador. In: Climate Vulnerability of the Health Sector in Quito: Making Technical Data Accessible to Policy Makers. Institute for Social and Environmental Transition-International and Staplets Consulting: Colorado.

Funded by: Climate & Development Knowledge Network (CDKN)


Sign up here for occasional updates to keep you in the know

  • Facebook - White Circle
  • LinkedIn - White Circle
  • Twitter - White Circle
  • YouTube - White Circle

ISET-International Office

4770 Lee Circle

Boulder, CO USA 80303

© 2020 by ISET-International